Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.064350 3.419033 3.802758 4.249491 4.756212 5.314181 5.976552
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.561725 3.036614 3.586480 4.273041 5.111238 6.106210 7.384025
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.241160 2.778790 3.433716 4.296042 5.410103 6.812372 8.729229
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.008995 2.582787 3.311098 4.312656 5.668653 7.461346 10.045209
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.787012 2.367128 3.129001 4.215543 5.745980 7.855836 11.039035
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.633625 2.222264 3.019227 4.193660 5.908367 8.364626 12.230359
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.499791 2.089017 2.908741 4.152801 6.029170 8.812648 13.367123
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.445204 2.060614 2.940157 4.314846 6.457154 9.749793 15.356028
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.352750 1.968158 2.868491 4.312241 6.627692 10.299728 16.777715
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.263804 1.873035 2.783634 4.278803 6.741424 10.762787 18.097802
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.138060 1.712353 2.585946 4.048587 6.511346 10.632122 18.361831
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.078723 1.650154 2.536318 4.052248 6.667880 11.164896 19.869429
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.041819 1.622239 2.541203 4.150199 7.001124 12.050332 22.167602
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.993394 1.572255 2.506420 4.177587 7.212754 12.739718 24.181492
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.948496 1.524668 2.471592 4.200878 7.417292 13.434177 26.293251
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.906251 1.478396 2.435166 4.217247 7.608629 14.120187 28.474767
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.848854 1.402442 2.342139 4.122579 7.578998 14.368244 29.749041
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.808218 1.352743 2.291343 4.101244 7.687915 14.901523 31.716373
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.767916 1.301059 2.233413 4.061399 7.755388 15.354291 33.558827
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.759504 1.305517 2.276880 4.219424 8.237756 16.731122 37.764174
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.728926 1.267873 2.240263 4.216883 8.385693 17.398480 40.347003
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.696447 1.224798 2.190670 4.184276 8.466143 17.922877 42.645822
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.641599 1.137183 2.051636 3.959761 8.111653 17.422601 42.231823